Bush on verge of winning 2nd term as Ohio hangs in balance

WASHINGTON – President Bush was within reach of re-election early Wednesday, having racked up… WASHINGTON – President Bush was within reach of re-election early Wednesday, having racked up state victories across the map and hoping that a lead in Ohio would hold and put him over the top.

Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney were said to be preparing to declare victory in the pre-dawn hours at an overnight Republican rally at the Ronald Reagan Building in the nation’s capital, but Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry refused to concede defeat, and his running mate John Edwards vowed to “fight for every vote.”

Bush was declared the winner of Nevada shortly after 3:30 am EST, giving him wins in all but two states he carried in 2000. He lost New Hampshire, but if he held on to win Ohio, he would win 274 Electoral College votes and a second term.

Kerry clung to hopes of winning on a shrinking map of opportunity. He bagged Wisconsin finally about 5 a.m., but still had to hold two states won by Democrats in 2000 – Iowa and New Mexico – that remained too close to call early Wednesday and also overtake Bush in Ohio.

Bush was declared the winner in Ohio by two television networks shortly after midnight, which appeared to put him in a strong position to win the election. But Kerry’s campaign manager -mindful of how Al Gore fought to contest a result once he was declared the loser four years ago – urged the country to hold back from deciding too quickly.

“The vote count in Ohio has not been completed,” said Kerry campaign manager Mary Beth Cahill. “There are more than 250,000 remaining votes to be counted. We believe when they are, John Kerry will win Ohio.”

Democratic vice presidential candidate Sen. John Edwards appeared before supporters in Boston hours later to tell them the election would not be decided soon.

“It’s been a long night,” Edwards said at 2:28 a.m. EST. “We’ve waited four years for this victory. We can wait one more night.” He also vowed to “fight for every vote.”

It was unclear whether it would take one more night or more to count those Ohio votes. Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell said that if the victory margin came down to provisional ballots held aside because of challenges to suspect voters, state law requires that they not be counted for 11 days. Whether the count would be settled sooner was unclear, but it was evident that Ohio could determine the outcome.

With only one exception, Bush was holding all of the states he won four years ago, including Florida. If he held the rest, including Ohio, he would have at least 274 electoral votes, four more than needed to claim a second term.

If he lost Ohio’s 20 electoral votes, he would have to win away some combination of states that went Democratic last time. Several remained too close to call early Wednesday, including Iowa, New Mexico and Wisconsin.

Bush took a 3 million-vote lead in the popular vote; with 89 percent of the nation’s votes counted, Bush had 51 percent and Kerry 48 percent. Third-party candidates, including Ralph Nader, were all in single digits.

Republicans also held control of the Senate and the House of Representatives and appeared poised to possibly increase their margins in each.

As it was in 2000, the country was divided, and the two rivals carved up much of the country along the familiar red-blue lines of election night maps, with red for Republican states and blue for Democratic states.

Bush held 27 states he carried in 2000: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia and Wyoming, according to projections by the television networks.

Kerry picked off one state from Bush, New Hampshire. In addition, he held 18 states that the Democrats carried four years ago: California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington and Wisconsin, as well as Washington, D.C.

Interest was so high that polls remained opened past closing time in several states. The results came after Americans surged to the polls in the first wartime election in more than three decades.

Unusually long lines at precincts across the country underscored the intense interest in the outcome, with the stakes high and the choice between the two main candidates clear.

Bush watched the returns from the White House, summoning reporters to the residence to tell them he felt he would win. As late as 2:30 a.m. EST, he was huddling in the family quarters with Cheney, among others.

Cheney emerged from the family quarters around 3 a.m. and told a Knight Ridder reporter, “We’re awaiting developments. I’m going to my office to sit a bit.”

Kerry watched from his home in the Beacon Hill section of Boston, getting updates by phone from Cahill and strategist Michael Whouley from the “boiler room” in Washington.

“We just don’t know at this point,” senior adviser Mike McCurry said, when asked whether Kerry planned to come down to address the crowd of 10,000 waiting in the rain in Copley square. He and adviser Joe Lockhart said they were trailing by 200,000 votes in Ohio but remained hopeful.

“In Ohio we’re waiting for the heaviest and most concentrated Democratic vote to report in, Cuyahoga County, the Cleveland area,” Lockhart said. “Gore won convincingly in 2000 and we project our vote ahead of Gore’s there this year.”

There was a net gain of 180,000 newly registered voters in the county, out of 260,000 statewide. “That’s what our guys think will put us over the top,” Lockhart said.

Bush, 58, the Republican nominee, promised to prevail in Iraq, keep America safe from terrorists by taking the fight to enemies abroad, keep taxes low and protect traditional family values and institutions.

Kerry, 60, the Democratic nominee, vowed change at home and abroad. He promised to re-engage America’s traditional allies in Europe, expand health care for the uninsured, reduce health costs for businesses and employees, cut taxes for the middle class and raise taxes for the wealthy. He vowed 10 million new jobs.

Many Americans braved hour-plus waits to vote, suggesting that turnout could be the largest since 1968, when the country wrestled with its choice of a leader at the height of the Vietnam War. The last time the United States conducted a presidential election in wartime was 1972.

“I’m willing to wait no matter how long,” said Kelly Jimenez, 34, of Miami’s Little Haiti neighborhood. “Not everybody in the world has this privilege.”

“This election is too close to leave it up to chance,” said Langon Kane, 26, of suburban Philadelphia, who voted early so she could baby-sit her friends’ children in the evening, when their parents planned to vote. “I will be watching the returns tonight and holding my breath.”

Added Janice Carey, 52, of Davie, Fla.: “I think this is the most important election of my lifetime.”

American GIs standing watch in Iraq and around the world voted by absentee ballot.

“This election is in the hands of the people, and I feel very comfortable about that,” Bush said after voting at a firehouse near his ranch at Crawford, Texas. “Now’s the time for the people to express their will.”

He flew to Columbus, Ohio, for one last campaign pitch. He thanked volunteers at a phone bank, then took a line himself to talk to one surprised supporter. “Julie, this is President Bush calling,” he said. “No, I promise you it’s me. … I’m proud to have your support. I appreciate you taking my phone call. Thank you so very much.”

He told reporters that he and Kerry had given the American people a hard-fought campaign and a clear choice.

“Both of us will be able to say that we campaigned as hard as we possibly could,” Bush said. “I have made the differences as clear as possible about why I think I am the best leader for the country for the next four years.”

Returning to Washington aboard Air Force One with first lady Laura Bush and their two daughters, Bush looked back on the long and sometimes bitter campaign by watching a slide show put together by a White House photographer. He watched the returns from the White House.

Kerry started the day in LaCrosse, Wis., before returning to Boston to vote with his two daughters and enjoy a traditional Election Day dinner at the Union Oyster House, a Boston landmark.

“I’m very confident we made the case for change, for new leadership,” Kerry said.

His wife, Teresa Heinz Kerry, voted with her children from her first marriage near their Pittsburgh-area home before joining the senator in Boston.

Memories of the 2000 election result and month-long recount battle hung over the day. But most problems appeared minor.

In Ohio, a last-minute decision by the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals allowed the political parties to send people into polling places to challenge suspected fraud, a concern Republicans had cited. There had been pre-election reports of registration fraud, including that such fictional characters as Mary Poppins had been registered and that thousands had been registered to vote in both Ohio and Florida.

Democrats said the presence of Republicans was meant to intimidate minority voters. But the poll watchers rarely challenged voters. The only major problems in Cleveland, as in most other parts of the country, were long lines and the ordinary difficulty in finding people’s names on the rolls.

“It’s been very solid,” said Cleveland Mayor Jane Campbell, a Democrat.

“A lot of sound and fury and no action,” Ohio Republican Party spokesman Jeff Flint said.

But the Voter Protection Project, with the Ohio Democratic Party, complained that some long lines in Franklin County meant it took three hours and longer to vote and drove some people to leave.

“Elderly and disabled voters are unable to stand in line for three hours or more. Nobody should have to wait this long when there is a solution to the problem,” party attorney Thomas Rosenberg said. He urged the Franklin County Board of Elections to distribute paper ballots or absentee ballots to those waiting in lines.

County election officials called that impractical, adding that anyone in line before the polls closed would be allowed to vote on the voting machines.

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(Knight Ridder correspondents Thomas Fitzgerald with the Kerry campaign, Seth Borenstein in Cleveland and Lori Aratani in Washington contributed to this report.)

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(c) 2004, Knight Ridder/Tribune Information Services.

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PHOTOS (from KRT Photo Service, 202-383-6099): ELECTION

GRAPHIC (from KRT Graphics, 202-383-6064): 20041102 ELECTION turnout