With one weekend of the madness complete, and all four No. 1 seeds still alive, the Fact or… With one weekend of the madness complete, and all four No. 1 seeds still alive, the Fact or Fiction crew takes a look at how each of the top four teams’ fate will be decided once this weekend is over and only four teams remain:
1. Duke will win the Atlanta Region and advance to the Final Four.
Matt Sortino: Fiction. Although many think that this is the year of the Dukies, the next two games will really test Coach K’s group. First they have to deal with LSU, a team with better size and depth, two things that have been giving Duke fits all year. Big Baby Davis is going to be too much for the Dukies to handle, but I think that Duke prevails with their guard play. However, Texas will win the Atlanta region because of their outstanding talent and their ability to run the floor and play the slow, half-court game.
Dave Thomas: Fact. I know everyone thinks that J.J. Redick is worked down from a long season of commanding the team that was ranked number one in the country for a lot of this season, but I think he will take his game to another level. Redick is a great player, one of college basketball’s greatest ever – I know that sounds crazy – but remember, he is now the ACC’s all-time leading scorer. I think the senior will be playing with an unbelievable sense of urgency and take his game to heights we’ve never seen before. Duke will be in Indianapolis because J.J. will refuse to lose.
2. Memphis will win the Oakland Region and advance to the Final Four.
MS: Fiction. I have to say that I am one of many who weren’t believers in Memphis and I didn’t think they would be in the Sweet 16. With that said, both Bradley and UCLA have what it takes to beat the Tigers. After Memphis squeaks by Bradley and UCLA gets rid of Gonzaga, I like the Bruins and their talented guards to move onto the Final Four. Remember, when the Elite Eight comes, Memphis will have traveled the easiest road of the eight teams left, and that easy road will end with UCLA.
DT: Fiction. I think the Tigers’ run will come to an end at the hands of former Pitt coach Ben Howland and his UCLA Bruins. As athletic as Memphis is, Howland has UCLA playing its best basketball and they are really starting to grind teams out, just like the Howland teams of old here at Pitt. The way the Bruins are playing will be enough for UCLA to squeak out a win against the Zags and put them up against Memphis in the Elite Eight. I think UCLA will get there out of this region.
3. Villanova will win the Minneapolis bracket and advance to the Final Four.
MS: Fiction. As strange as this sounds, I like all of the three teams remaining in Villanova’s bracket more than I like the Wildcats. Villanova is another team that has proved me wrong and played very good basketball, but they have absolutely no answer for Craig Smith of Boston College, so I think the Eagles could pull the upset. If they don’t, both Florida and Georgetown match up with the Wildcats pretty well and could ruin the Nova’s dreams of playing in Indy. When it is all said and done, I think Florida ends up in the Final Four from this bracket.
DT: Fact. I feel like the Wildcats are on a mission. While they definitely have a very tough road in playing BC and then either Florida or Georgetown, I think they will escape this bracket and make it to Indy. I think what Allan Ray has been able to do after that eye injury has inspired a squad that, despite playing great basketball all year in the Big East, is still disrespected. They are playing with a chip on their shoulder and have the scorers and depth necessary to be a Final Four team.
4. UConn will win the Washington bracket and advance to the Final Four.
MS: Fact. This seems a little too easy. First the Huskies have to beat a Washington team that comes from a weak Pac-10 conference and then they must get past either George Mason or Wichita State? It is way too obvious that UConn has the most talent left in the tournament. As long as they keep putting 40 minutes of basketball together, there is no one in the field that can beat them.
DT: Fact. This is by far the easiest region to call. The Huskies will use these next two games as final tune-ups on their way to the Final Four. The way this bracket played out, the Huskies won’t have to play anyone higher than a five seed, and have had bigger tests by playing such a tough conference schedule. Their backcourt has improved all year while their frontcourt is as tough as anyone’s in the nation. The Huskies are the clear-cut favorite to win the title as we head into the round of 16.
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